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Can AI predict the World Cup winner?

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Bad news England fans. Football might not be coming home after all, according to Goldman Sachs and Artificial Intelligence.

Business Insider published an article on July 2 which revealed the investment bank’s prediction of a Brazil vs. Croatia final. Goldman used AI to simulate 1 million variations to pick a winner ahead of the World Cup.

Initially the ‘sophisticated learning model’ foresaw the final being contested between Brazil and Germany, but we all know what happened there.

Following the shock of Germany’s early exit in the group stage, Goldman’s machine had another go, and came to the conclusion that we would see England grace a major tournament final for the first time since 1966.

Unfortunately, an additional surprise defeat has affected England’s chances and allowed Croatia to creep into contention. Jan Hatzius, leader of Goldman’s team explained how Spain losing to Russia via penalty shootout has benefited Croatia’s chances.

“Brazil retains its place at the top of the probability table, and as the winner in the most likely final game, against Croatia. The Croatian team’s chances have been boosted by Spain’s loss, and indeed the model predicts that they will defeat England in the semi-finals.”

So, it looks like we had better enjoy England’s predicted victory over Colombia this evening, as according to Artificial Intelligence, it’s where their journey will end. We still believe though.

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